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Andrew Parnell
Trinity College Dublin

Wednesday, November 7, 2007
Mesa Laboratory, Chapman Room
Lecture 11:00am

Bayesian Palaeoclimate Reconstruction

This talk will concentrate on some of the developments since Haslett et al (2006) on proxy methods for palaeoclimate reconstruction. Proxy methods for climate modelling are increasingly used to validate General Circulation Models (GCMs). We show how multiple proxies can be neatly combined through Bayesian Hierarchical modelling. Such a model requires a statistical formulation for changes in climate; the talk will discuss formulations which may be of interest to both statisticians and climate modellers.
Bayesian palaeoclimate reconstruction; 2006. Haslett, J., Whiley, M. Bhattacharya, S., Huntley, B., Allen, J. and Mitchell, F. B. J Roy Stat Soc; Series A, 169 (3), 395-438.