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Data Assimilation Research Section Turbulence Numerics Team Geophysical Statistics Project

The Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences
Theme for 2006: Emerging Mathematical Strategies for
Multi-Scale and Stochastic Modeling of the Atmosphere and Climate

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Workshop III. Stochastic and Statistical Parameterization of
Unresolved Features in the Atmosphere and Upper Ocean.


27 February - 3 March 2006; Boulder, CO

Agenda

Tutorial/Research/Expository Lectures

Monday, 27 February 2006

8:20 University of Colorado (CU) bus will depart promptly to
transport participants from the Best Western Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR
Parameter Estimation with Ensemble Filters
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Markos Katsoulakis, University of Massachusetts at Amherst
Introduction to jump Markov Processes and Related Coarse-graining Methods
11:15-12:00 Open Discussion
12:00-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Eric Vanden-Eijnden, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Chris Wikle, University of Missouri
Bayesian Hierarchical Models: A Brief Introduction
3:45-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Tuesday, 28 February 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR
Hierarchical Bayesian Methods for Estimating Assimilation Parameters
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Markos Katsoulakis, University of Massachusetts at Amherst
Protype Hybrid Deterministic/Stochastic models
11:15-12:00 Andrew Majda, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Stable Filtering on Strongly Unstable Spatially Extended Systems
12:00-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Eric Vanden-Eijnden, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Chris Wikle, University of Missouri
Bayesian Hierarchical Parameterizations
3:45-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Contemporary Research Lectures

Wednesday, 1 March 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 Grant Branstator, NCAR
PDFs of planetary wave states
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Christian Franzke, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Systematic Stochastic Modeling of Climate Variability
11:15-12:15 Adam Monahan, University of Victoria
12:15-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria
Coarse Grained Stochastic Birth-Death Processes for Tropical Convection and Climate
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Judith Berner, ECMWF
Stochastic-Dynamic Parameterizations in Numerical Weather Prediction
3:45-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Thursday, 2 March 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 TBD
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Jorgen Frederiksen, CISRO
Statistical Closure Theory and Subgrid-scale Parameterizations
11:15-12:15 Sergey Kravtsov, University of Wisconsin
Linear-Regression-Based Models of Nonlinear Processes
12:15-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Daan Crommelin, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Reconstruction of Effective Stochastic Dynamics from Data
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Ilya Timofeyev, University of Houston
Stochastic Mode-Reduction in Large Deterministic Systems
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Friday, 3 March 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 Paul Roundy, NOAA/CIRES/Aeronomoy Laboratory
The Role of Intraseasonal Atmospheric Forcing in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 David Holland, Courant Institue of Mathematical Sciences
An Impact of Sub-Grid-Scale Ice-Ocean Dynamics on Sea-Ice Cover
11:15-12:15 Bruno Tremblay, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Modeling Sea Ice as a Granular Material, Including Dilatancy Effect
12:15 Workshop adjourns