Many geophysical and environmental problems depend on estimating a spatial process based on a large number of irregularly spaced observations. In addition, such processes often have nonstationary structure. Standard spatial estimates are based on the solution to a large linear system that is of the same size as the number of observations and a straight forward solution is prohibitive for large, spatial datasets.

In this work we illustrate how the iterative solution of linear systems makes it possible to find good approximate solutions to large spatial problems. One key to this approach is the use of spatial process models that allow for efficient multiplication of the covariance matrix by an arbitrary vector. This is possible for stationary covariances by making connections with spatial convolution kernels. Because many spatial processes are heterogeneous in space an important extension of these algorithms is to covariances that are nonstationary. Recent developments in multiresolution bases such as wavelets allow one flexibility in capturing nonstationary structure and also permit rapid evaluation of the basis functions. The net result is a flexible models for spatial structure that can be computed efficiently in an interactive data analysis environment.

As an illustration of this approach we consider monthly precipitation recordsat approximately 800 sites in the Rocky Mountain region of the US. Here the goal is to produce spatial predictions on a regular grid and sample the posterior distribution to produce valid realizations of the precipitation spatial process.