Implications
of Pall et al study
nEarly studies
with coarse-resolution driving models gave diametrically opposing conclusions re: anthropogenic trend in flood risk.
nLarge ensemble
simulations with higher-resolution models give more modest, but still substantial, anthropogenic increase in flood risk.
nWe need large
ensembles to capture events of interest, and we need relatively high resolution to simulate them realistically: ideal application for novel (ÒgridÓ) computing resources.