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Detecting ÒsignificantÓ climate
change means showing that a given change in climate is unusual relative to
some yardstick that you have of ÒnormalÓ behavior.
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If you feel hot, and measure a body
temperature of 102oF, then youÕve ÒdetectedÓ a fever - you know
that that this elevated temperature is outside the limits of ÒnormalÓ body
temperature.
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But this measurement doesnÕt give you
the cause of the fever.
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To deduce the cause, youÕll probably
need to undergo some more sophisticated tests - perhaps urine and blood
analyses, maybe even x-rays or CAT scans.
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Once you have the results from these
tests, itÕs much easier to narrow down the potential causes of the fever.
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This is attribution - the process of
establishing cause and effect.
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