ÆWhere can consensus be expected in the near future?
ÆWhere can statistical science provide further assistance
to future research?
lConclusions
Here is an outline of the structure
of my talk.
First IÕll discuss some of the key
findings of a recent Intergovernmental report that investigated the nature
and causes of climate change.
Then IÕll define some terms that IÕll
be using in my talk.
Next IÕll try to give you some
indication of the principal advances that have been made in our knowledge of
the causes of climate change.
Most of the talk will focus on
discussion of one example of a so-called ÒfingerprintÓ study - a statistical
comparison of patterns of climate change in observed data and in model
predictions.
Finally, in my concluding remarks,
IÕll point out some of the key uncertainties in this type of work, and tell
you why I believe that we all have a stake in advancing the science.