NCAR Summer School, 13 August 2008
Regional Climate Models
Problems continue
¥Mostly because of the nonlinearity of the equations, small differences in the initial state eventually grow to completely change the solution.
¥"Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wings in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas? " (E. Lorenz, 1972, via P. Merilees or D. Lilly)
¥Do multiple simulations starting from slightly different initial states:  ensemble prediction
¥Also create ensembles by using multiple models.