NCAR Summer School, 13 August 2008
Regional Climate Models
A study of sources of uncertainty in regional climate models
¥Compare four different types of ensembles:
¥lagged average ensemble (sensitivity to initial conditions)
¥perturbed physics ensemble (sensitivity to closure parameters)
¥mixed physics ensemble (sensitivity to closure schemes or assumptions)
¥multi-model ensemble (inter-model variability)
¥Test case is the summer 1993 flood over the central U.S.