A parametric and process-oriented view of the carbon system
The challenge: explain the controls over the systemÕs response
Carbon emissions and uptakes since 1800
(Gt C)
Expanding the model:
A Hierarchical view of the carbon system
A-R: A key feature of the system
Ecosystem Model Structure
Some key model equations
Estimation
Slide 10
Control variables
Concentrations have less information about processes and parameters than do fluxes
Get closer to the answer: measure fluxes
FLUXNET
Slide 15
More gadgets
More gadgets
Slide 18
Time-scale character of carbon modeling
Observed variability of fluxes
Analyzed variability of processes
Analysis of controls
Self-consistent parameter sets
Slide 24
Slide 25
"Evaluation against an independent water..."
Normal Model Parameterization Method
Step 2É..
Self-consistent parameter sets
Analysis of controls
What does this type of local study contribute to global modeling?
Carbon from space
Day and Night
Future active CO2 experiments make day and night observations
Process priors for global models
The global scale is very distant from processes
Slide 37
Slide 38
Slide 39
Vertical profiles and CO2 ÒlakesÓ
"Carbon data assimilation"
A few references