Data assimilation and forecasting the weather (!)
Content
Typical 6-hour analysis cycle
The observing system a few years agoÉ
Typical distribution of observations in +/- 3hours
Typical distribution of observations in +/- 3hours
Model grid points (uniformly distributed) and observations (randomly distributed). For the grid point i only observations within a radius of influence may be considered
Some statisticsÉ
Some comparisonsÉ
Slide 10
Comparisons of Northern and Southern Hemispheres
Satellite radiances are essential in the SH
More and more satellite radiancesÉ
Intro. to data assimilation: a toy example
Toy temperature data assimilation, measure radiance
Toy temperature data assimilation, measure radiance
Toy temperature data assimilation, measure radiance
Toy temperature data assimilation, variational approach
Toy temperature data assimilation, variational approach
Typical 6-hour analysis cycle
Toy temperature analysis cycle (Kalman Filter)
Toy temperature analysis cycle (Kalman Filter)
Summary of toy system equations (for a scalar)
Summary of toy system equations (cont.)
Summary of toy system equations (cont.)
Equations for toy and real huge systems
Interpretation of the NWP system of equations
Interpretation of the NWP system of equations
Summary of NWP equations (cont.)
Comparison of 4-D Var and LETKF at JMA
T. Miyoshi and Y. Sato
Comparison of 4-D Var and LETKF at JMA
T. Miyoshi and Y. Sato
Comparison of 4-D Var and LETKF at JMA
T. Miyoshi and Y. Sato
Comparison of 4-D Var and LETKF at JMA
18th typhoon in 2004, IC 12Z 8 August 2004
T. Miyoshi and Y. Sato
Comparison of 4-D Var and LETKF at JMA
RMS error statistics for all typhoons in August 2004
T. Miyoshi and Y. Sato
Summary