Oxford
University
Implications of Pall et al study
nEarly
studies with coarse-resolution driving models gave diametrically opposing
conclusions re: anthropogenic trend in flood risk.
nLarge ensemble simulations with higher-resolution models give more modest, but still substantial, anthropogenic increase in flood risk.
nWe need large ensembles to capture events of interest, and we need relatively high resolution to simulate them realistically: ideal application for novel (ÒgridÓ) computing resources.
nLarge ensemble simulations with higher-resolution models give more modest, but still substantial, anthropogenic increase in flood risk.
nWe need large ensembles to capture events of interest, and we need relatively high resolution to simulate them realistically: ideal application for novel (ÒgridÓ) computing resources.