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Stochastic Modeling of ENSO
Richard Kleeman
Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Abstract
A basic feature of ENSO is that it is irregular. Two hypotheses
have been advanced over the past 15 years to explain this. One
involves chaotic interaction between the annual and ENSO cycles while
the other involves the stochastic forcing of the coupled climate
system by atmospheric transients such as the MJO. We review the
theoretical, observational and modeling basis for the second
explanation and examine possible future refinements.
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