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Data Assimilation Research Section Turbulence Numerics Team Geophysical Statistics Project

The Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences
Theme for 2006: Emerging Mathematical Strategies for
Multi-Scale and Stochastic Modeling of the Atmosphere and Climate

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Workshop IV. Multi-Scale Processes for Low Frequency Variability,
Climate, and Climate Change Response


15 - 19 May 2006
3450 Mitchell Lane
Foothills Laboratory Building 2
Main Seminar Room

Agenda

Tutorial/Research/Expository Lectures

Monday, 15 May 2006

8:20 University of Colorado (CU) bus will depart promptly to
transport participants from the Best Western Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 R. Saravanan, Texas A&M University
Multi-Scale Interactions and Hierarchical Modeling of Climate Variability
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Clara Deser, NCAR
The Role of the Extra-Tropical Upper Ocean Mixed Layer in Climate Variability
11:15-12:00 Open Discussion
12:00-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Richard Kleeman, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Stochastic Modeling of ENSO
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Grant Branstator, NCAR
Planetary Wave Interactions across Time Scales
3:45-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Tuesday, 16 May 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 R. Saravannan, Texas A&M University
Thermodynamic Feedbacks in Tropical Coupled Variability
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Andrew Majda, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
The Fluctuation - Dissipation Theorem for Complex Nonlinear Systems
11:15-12:00 Open Discussion
12:00-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Richard Kleeman, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Predictability in Dynamical Systems Relevant to Climate and Weather
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Daan Crommelin, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Reduced Modeling with Optimal Bases
3:45-4:15 Adam Monahan, University of Victoria
An Introduction to Nonlinear Principal Component Analysis
4:15-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Contemporary Research Lectures

Wednesday, 17 May 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 William Dewar, Florida State University
Slow Nonhydrostatic Flow and Balanced Energetics
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Adam Monahan, University of Victoria
Stochastic Stability of Simple Climate Models
11:15-12:15 Shiling Peng, NOAA - CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, University of Colorado
How Does the Atmosphere Respond to Extratropical SST Anomalies? - the Role of Transient Eddy Feedbacks
12:15-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Xiaoming Wang, Florida State University
Emergence of Large Scale Coherent Structure under Random Small Scale Bombardments
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Philip Sura, NOAA
The Impact of Stochastic Heat Fluxes on Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Atmosphere-Ocean Coupling
3:45-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Thursday, 18 May 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 Ping Chang, Texas A&M University
Internal Atmospheric Variability, Pacific Meridional Mode and ENSO
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Dargan Frierson, University of Chicago/UCAR
Energy Fluxes in an Idealized Moist General Circulation Model
11:15-12:00 Open Discussion
12:00-1:30 Lunch
1:30-2:30 Kevin Trenberth, NCAR
The Role of Hurricanes in the Climate System
2:30-2:45 Break
2:45-3:45 Markus Jochum, NCAR
Tropical Atmospheric Variability forced by Oceanic Internal Variability
3:45-4:30 Open Discussion
4:30 CU Bus back to the Golden Buff

Friday, 19 May 2006

8:20 CU Bus departs promptly from the Golden Buff to NCAR
9:00-10:00 Grant Branstator, NCAR
Estimating Atmospheric Response Using Fluctuation-Response Based Methods
10:00-10:15 Break
10:15-11:15 Jonathan Mattingly, Duke University
Ergodicity and Statistical Stability of 2D Fluids under Random Rorcing at a Particular Scale
11:15-12:15 Sergey Kravtsov, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee
A Mechanistic Model of Mid-latitude Decadal Climate Variability
12:15 Workshop adjourns