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Workshop III. Application of Statistics to Numerical Models: New Methods and Case Studies21-23 May 2007; Boulder, COVenue:
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| 7:45 | University of Colorado (CU) bus pick-up from Golden Buff to NCAR | |
| 8:00 - 8:30 | Registration and Coffee | |
| 8:30 - 8:45 | Opening Remarks Doug Nychka, NCAR Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences |
8:45 - 10:15 | Project Reports I The NCAR Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Electrodynamics General Circulation Model: Problems in Developing a Realistic Model Astrid Maute, NCAR/HAO Calibration and emulation of the NCAR TIE-GCM Serge Guillas, SAMSI/Georgia Institute of Technology |
| 10:15 - 10:30 | Break | |
| 10:30 - 12:00 | Invited I Successful calibration: A practitioners guide Jason Loeppky, University of British Columbia Bayesian functional data analysis for computer model validation Fei Liu, Duke University |
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| 12:00 - 1:30 | Lunch | |
| 1:30 - 3:00 | Project Reports II Improving terrestrial magnetosphere models with optimized ionospheric boundary conditions Josh Rigler, NCAR/HAO A statistical algorithm for calibrating the LFM model Steve Sain, NCAR/IMAGe |
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| 3:00 - 3:30 | Break | |
| 3:30 - 5:00 | Group Discussion Moderator: Jonty Rougier, SAMSI/University of Durham |
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| 5:15 | CU Bus to Millennium Harvest House | |
| 5:30 - 7:00 | Mixer at the Millennium Harvest House |
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
| 7:45 | CU bus pick-up from Golden Buff to NCAR | |
| 8:00 - 8:30 | Coffee | |
| 8:30 - 10:00 | Project Reports III Characterizing the response of simulated atmospheric boundary layers to stochastic cloud radiative forcing Robert Tardif, NCAR/RAL Howard Bondell, North Carolina University/SAMSI |
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| 10:00 - 10:30 | Break | |
| 10:30 - 12:00 | Invited II Joint calibration of multiple computer experiments to multiple physical experiments Earl Lawrence, Los Alamos National Laboratory Constructing a risk map for pyroclastic flows: Combining simulations and data to predict rare events Elaine Spiller, SAMSI |
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| 12:00 - 1:30 | Lunch VisLab Tour (1:00-1:30) |
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| 1:30 - 3:00 | Project Reports IV Model error and parameter estimation in a simplified mesoscale prediction framework Guillaume Vernieres, SAMSI Josh Hacker, NCAR/RAL |
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| 3:00 - 3:30 | Break | |
| 3:30 - 5:00 | Group Discussion Moderator: Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University |
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| 5:00 | CU bus to pick-up from NCAR to Golden Buff |
Wednesday, May 23, 2007
| 7:45 | CU bus pick-up from Golden Buff to NCAR | |
| 8:00 - 8:30 | Coffee | |
| 8:30 - 10:00 | Special Invited The multiscale challenge of climate modeling Jim Hack, NCAR/CGD The peril of the petascale: challenges to scientific computing John Clyne, NCAR/CISL |
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| 10:00 - 10:30 | Break | |
| 10:30 - 12:00 | Invited III Fast Bayesian estimation of prediction uncertainty in analysis of a computer experiment William Welch, University of British Columbia Bayesian data assimilation experiments for numerical ocean models Michael Dowd, Dalhousie University |
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| 12:00 - 1:30 | Lunch | |
| 1:30 - 3:00 | Project Reports V & VI Functional ANOVA Modeling of Regional Climate Model Experiments Cari Kaufman, SAMSI/NCAR Homogeneity, isotropy, and log-normality: Some thoughts on Kolmogorov's turbulence theory Chunsheng Ma, SAMSI/Wichita State University |
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| 3:00 - 3:30 | Break | |
| 3:30 - 5:00 | Group Discussion Moderator: Doug Nychka, NCAR/IMAGe |
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| 5:00 | CU bus to pick-up from NCAR to Golden Buff |
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